Table 5.
Performance of mesothelin and calretinin in women and the probability of a diagnosis of MPM, conditional on the observed biomarker concentrations
| Probability % |
Females | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | ||||||||||
| Cut off Mesothelin [nmol/L] | TPR | FPR | Cut off Calretinin [ng/mL] | TPR | FPR | Cut off Mesothelin [nmol/L] | Cut off Calretinin [ng/mL] | TPR | FPR | |||
| 90 | 3.24 | 0.42 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | - | 0.33 | 0 | ||
| 80 | - | 0.42 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2.13 | 3.09 | 0.50 | 0 | ||
| 70 | - | 0.42 | 0.02 | 4.98 | 0.08 | 0 | - | - | 0.50 | 0.02 | ||
| 60 | 1.87 | 0.58 | 0.02 | 3.09 | 0.17 | 0 | - | - | 0.58 | 0.02 | ||
| 50 | - | 0.58 | 0.02 | - | 0.17 | 0 | - | - | 0.58 | 0.02 | ||
| 40 | 1.48 | 0.58 | 0.03 | 1.44 | 0.25 | 0 | 1.35 | 1.23 | 0.75 | 0.02 | ||
| 30 | 1.35 | 0.75 | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.06 | 1.21 | 1.12 | 0.75 | 0.05 | ||
| 20 | 1.14 | 0.92 | 0.12 | 0.49 | 0.58 | 0.24 | 1.05 | 0.72 | 0.83 | 0.09 | ||
| 10 | 0.90 | 0.92 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.92 | 0.49 | 0.90 | 0.23 | 0.92 | 0.20 | ||
Probability was used to estimate TPR and FPR: Probability = 1/(1+e^(-φ)). Because of the small number of female cases (12), not for all set probabilities corresponding marker concentrations were available. Logistic regression models: (1) with log-mesothelin as predictor, φ = exp [-1.77 + 3.35 * ln(mesothelin)]; (2) with log-calretinin as predictor, φ = exp [-0.72 + 0.99 * ln(calretinin)]; (3) with log-mesothelin and log-calretinin, φ = exp [-1.36 + 3.08 * ln(mesothelin) + 0.33 * ln(calretinin)]. TPR: true positive rate; FPR: false positive rate