Appendix Table 1.
Parameter | 95% CI | p-value | |
Burundi prewar baseline (β0) | 41.35 | (39.47, 43.24) | <.0001 |
Rwanda prewar (β1) | 0.30 | (-2.38, 2.97) | 0.8282 |
Burundi trend prewar (β2) | 0.21 | (0.13, 0.30) | <.0001 |
Rwanda trend prewar (β3) | 0.051 | (-0.082, 0.18) | 0.4529 |
Burundi postwar level (β4) | 4.78 | (4.53, 5.02) | <.0001 |
Burundi postwar annual trend (β5) | 0.15 | (-0.12, 0.42) | 0.2733 |
Pre- genocide level (β6) | 1.79 | (1.49, 2.10) | <.0001 |
Pre-genocide annual trend (β7) | -3.81 | (-4.20, -3.42) | <.0001 |
Rwanda postwar level (β8) | -0.90 | (-3.26, 1.46) | 0.4551 |
Rwanda postwar annual trend (β9) | 0.69 | (0.31, 1.07) | 0.0006 |
100 US$ GDP Per capita (β10) | 0.071 | (-0.095, 0.24) | 0.4026 |
Autoregressive parameters: Phi1= 0.89, Theta1=1.00