Table 1.
Three key assumptions that must hold for a Mendelian randomisation study to be valid
| Assumption | Description | Tools to assess plausibility | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Single sample | Two sample | ||
| Relevance assumption | The genetic variants associate with the risk factor of interest | The partial F statistic and partial r squared, or risk difference | Variants are associated with the risk factor in a large genome-wide study |
| Independence assumption | There are no unmeasured confounders of the associations between genetic variants and outcome | Covariate balance tests and bias component plots. Adjusting for principal components of population stratification | Evidence from large genome-wide association studies on the association of the genetic variants used as instruments with other baseline covariates |
| Exclusion restriction | The genetic variants affect the outcome only through their effect on the risk factor of interest | Biological knowledge, tests of association of the genetic variants and potential alternative mediating pathways | Evidence from large genome-wide association studies that the genetic variants associate with alternative pathways. MR Egger test for pleiotropy, Cook’s distance evaluation of outliers |