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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Jul 12.
Published in final edited form as: Polit Res Q. 2014 Dec 23;68(1):104–116. doi: 10.1177/1065912914563548

Table 1.

Logistic Regression Predicting Turnout in Presidential Elections with SRHS using the GSS 1972–2010 (N=19,807)

Model 1
Model 2
Δ probability min to max Δ probability min to max
SRHS .17***
(.03)
12% .19***
(.04)
13%
Age (centered at 46) .04***
(.002)
54% .03***
(.004)
40%
Age* Self-Rated Health .01***
(.002)
29%
High School Degree .96***
(.07)
21% .94***
(.07)
20%
Some College 1.35***
(.18)
22% 1.33***
(.18)
22%
College Degree or Higher 1.91***
(.09)
32% 1.90***
(.89)
31%
Female .03
(.05)
1% .03
(.04)
1%
Black −.28**
(.09)
−6% −.28**
(.09)
−6%
Other −1.04***
(.13)
−25% −1.05***
(.13)
−25%
Married .44***
(.05)
10% .41***
(.05)
9%
Strong Partisan .92***
(.08)
18% .93***
(.08)
18%
Religious Attendance .10***
(.01)
17% .10***
(.01)
17%
Newspaper Readership .19***
(.02)
17% .19***
(.02)
17%
Year −.03**
(.01)
−14% −.03**
(.01)
−15%
Year-squared .001*
(.001)
13% .001*
(.001)
12%
Constant −1.75***
(.13)
−1.71***
(.13)

Note: Standard Errors in parentheses. Significance levels:

***

p<0.01,

**

p<0.05,

*

p<0.1 with a two-tailed test.

Age is mean centered. Weights are employed to account for the complex survey design.