Table 9.
P-values for Ohio Synthetic Control Tests
| Post-treatment MSPE | Post/pre-treatment MSPE ratio | |
|---|---|---|
| BMI | ||
| 1993 only | 0.06* | 0.34 |
| 1993 & 1994 | 0.16 | 0.35 |
|
| ||
| Overweight | ||
| 1993 only | 0.09* | 0.28 |
| 1993 & 1994 | 0.19 | 0.26 |
|
| ||
| Obese | ||
| 1993 only | 0.69 | 0.88 |
| 1993 & 1994 | 0.48 | 0.84 |
Notes: P-values are calculated by ordering the mean squared prediction error (ratio) and calculating the proportion of placebo values that are greater than or equal to the treated value.