Table 1.
Model | Intercept | Slope | R 2 | Lifetime |
---|---|---|---|---|
Linear | 0.0477 | −0.00256 | 0.84 | 18.7 years |
Log | 0.0444 | −0.00195 | 0.93 | a |
Piecewise linear—first segment | 0.0488 | −0.00451 | — | |
Piecewise linear—second segment | 0.0449 | −0.00108 | 0.97 | 41.7 years |
Note. Time is in years, starting at 1 January 2015. For the piecewise linear model, values are provided for each segment, with the optimal breakpoint found at 16 February 2016. The R 2 goodness of fit values listed is the overall R 2 of both temporal segments (see also Figure S1).
The logarithmic model does not converge to a zero‐crossing (end of island state) given the present data and its uncertainties (Table S1).