TABLE 2—
Observed vs Expected Arrests in All 58 Counties in the First Year of Prop 47: California, November 2014–October 2015
| Arrest type | Observed No. | Expected No. | Difference, No. (95% CI) | % Change (95% CI) |
| Felony drug arrests | ||||
| White | 16 498 | 68 483 | −51 985 (–80 459, −32 391) | −75.9 (–71.7, −79.5) |
| Black | 7 700 | 22 728 | −15 028 (–29 994, –6 902) | −66.1 (–59.3, −70.9) |
| Latino | 17 914 | 68 027 | −50 113 (–96 181, −24 837) | −73.7 (–68.4, −76.9) |
| Total drug arrests | ||||
| White | 87 406 | 107 866 | −20 460 (–36 180, −11 306) | −19.0 (–13.5, −25.3) |
| Black | 24 354 | 31 433 | −7 079 (–16 082, –1 469) | −22.5 (–6.7, −30.8) |
| Latino | 78 199 | 102 430 | −24 231 (–43 743, −12 179) | −23.7 (–16.5, −28.5) |
Note. CI = confidence interval.