Fig 2.

Number of new HIV infections each year over 2009–2030 by scenario, produced by the (A) Goals, (B) ICL, and (C) EMOD models. The scenarios shown are: the counterfactual of no VMMC ever (turquoise), the VMMC program ends after 2016 (green), the VMMC program ends after 2018/19 (purple), the program targets through 2021 are met and maintained in a 'status quo' context (yellow), Fast Track targets are achieved without VMMC (red), and the VMMC program targets are achieved in a Fast Track context (blue). Infections are among all ages in the Goals and EMOD models (A and C, respectively) and among ages 15–49 in the ICL model (B).