Table 2.
Transition probabilities used in the model
| r-FSH + r-LH | HP-hMG | p-value for comparison | Source | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 5 Oocytes | ||||
| Positive hCG test (MIN - MAX) | 0.34 (0.31–0.37) | 0.23 (0.21–0.25) | 0.007 | Analyses from [17] |
| Negative hCG test (MIN - MAX) | 0.66 (0.60–0.73) | 0.77 (0.69–0.84) | ||
| Clinical pregnancy (MIN - MAX) | 0.84 (0.76–0.92) | 0.82 (0.74–0.90) | 0.790 | |
| Miscarriage (MIN - MAX) | 0.16 (0.15–0.18) | 0,18 (0.16–0.19) | ||
| 5–9 oocytes | ||||
| Positive hCG test (MIN - MAX) | 0.28 (0.26–0.31) | 0.22 (0.20–0.24) | 0.158 | Analyses from [17] |
| Negative hCG test (MIN - MAX) | 0.72 (0.65–0.79) | 0.78 (0.70–0.86) | ||
| Clinical pregnancy (MIN - MAX) | 0.82 (0.74–0.90) | 0.79 (0.71–0.86) | 0.646 | |
| Miscarriage (MIN - MAX) | 0.18 (0.16–0.19) | 0.21 (0.19–0.24) | ||
| 10–15 oocytes | ||||
| Positive hCG test (MIN - MAX) | 0.43 (0.39–0.48) | 0.24 (0.22–0.27) | 0.025 | Analyses from [17] |
| Negative hCG test (MIN - MAX) | 0.57 (0.51–0.62) | 0.76 (0.68–0.83) | ||
| Clinical pregnancy (MIN - MAX) | 0.88 (0.80–0.97) | 0.87 (0.78–0.95) | 1.000 | |
| Miscarriage (MIN - MAX) | 0.12 (0.10–0.13) | 0.13 (0.12–0.15) | ||
| > 15 oocytes | ||||
| Positive hCG test (MIN - MAX) | 0.56 (0.50–0.61) | 0.33 (0.30–0.37) | 0.202 | Analyses from [17] |
| Negative hCG test (MIN - MAX) | 0.44 (0.40–0.49) | 0.67 (0.60–0.73) | ||
| Clinical pregnancy (MIN - MAX) | 0.80 (0.72–0.88) | 1.00 (0.90–1.00) | 0.524 | |
| Miscarriage (MIN - MAX) | 0.20 (0.18–0.22) | 0.00 (0.00–0.00) | ||
| Transition probabilities valid for all the sample | ||||
| Cycle with embryo freezing (MIN - MAX) | 0.30 (0.27–0.33) | 0.30 (0.27–0.33) | Expert opinion | |
| Cycle without embryo freezing (MIN - MAX) | 0.40 (0.36–0.44) | 0.40 (0.36–0.44) | Expert opinion | |
| Dropout (MIN - MAX) | 0.30 (0.27–0.33) | 0.30 (0.27–0.33) | Expert opinion | |