Table 3.
Key features of the three forest conversion moratorium scenarios using the LUCES model to determine current and future landscapes as well as ecosystem service supply
| No. | Scenario | Description | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Business as usual (BAU) | - Protection for peat forest from conversion activities on a company scale (2011–2014) - Illegal conversion of peat forest on a community scale |
- No change in road network and market prices is assumed during the 15 years simulation - Settlement distribution change based on the change in land demand and centre of economic activities |
| 2 | Extended moratorium (EM) | Similar to BAU, plus: - Extension of the period for protection of peat forest from conversion activities on a company scale (2011–2036) - New oil palm and timber plantations on a company scale can only be established on mineral soil |
- Same as BAU |
| 3 | Moratorium plus livelihoods (MPL) | Similar to EM plus: - Increasing the market prices for NTFP, agroforestry products and community timber by about 15 % - Local demand for timber can only be supplied from community timber plantations |
- Support the NTFP market chain, agroforestry products and community timber products - Increase illegal logging litigation - Other conditions are the same as BAU |