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. 2018 Jul 22;21(Suppl Suppl 5):e25126. doi: 10.1002/jia2.25126

Table 1.

Parameters used for female sex workers (FSW), their clients and men who have sex with men (MSM) in 2016

Model parameter FSW Clients Young MSM (<30 years) Old MSM (≥30 years)
Size estimates (% of adult women or men) 0.5% (0.3 to 0.9%) 5.1% (1.8 to 12.1%) 1.2% (0.8 to 2.3%)
HIV‐1 prevalence 5.9% (1.8 to 10.0%) 1.2% (0.5 to 2.4%) 28.6% (19.8 to 37.5%)a 37.0% (14.8 to 59.2%)
Level of viral suppression in individuals living with HIV 73.7% (60.9 to 84.2%) NA 35.4% (23.9 to 48.2%)
Frequency of partners per year
Commercial (FSW/Clients) 516.4 (368.2 to 691.2)b 69.6 (62.4 to 78.0)
Main heterosexual 0.58 (0.47 to 0.73) 1.9 (1.3 to 2.6) 0.88 (0.39 to 1.5) 0.88 (0.39 to 1.5)
Casual heterosexual 0.96 (0.48 to 1.6) 0.6 (0.15 to 1.4) 2.3 (0.55 to 5.1) 2.3 (0.55 to 5.1)
Main (MSM sex) 0.71 (0.59 to 0.83) 0.71 (0.59 to 0.83)
Casual (MSM sex) 5.4 (2.5 to 9.2) 4.8 (1.3 to 9.2)
% of commercial sex acts that are analc 4.1% (2.1 to 6.5%) 5.1% (3.8 to 6.5%)
Frequency of vaginal sex acts per year
Main heterosexual partners 98.3 (78.5 to 117.5) 97.3 (73.6 to 124.6) 65.3 (56.2 to 74.4) 65.3 (56.2 to 74.4)
Casual heterosexual partners 6.2 (4.2 to 8.2) 3.8 (2.1 to 5.9) 4.5 (2.6 to 6.4) 4.5 (2.6 to 6.4)
Frequency of anal sex acts per year
Main heterosexual partners 9.9 (3.6 to 15.6) 6.6 (3.4 to 11.1) 5.2 (1.6 to 9.4) 5.2 (1.6 to 9.4)
Casual heterosexual partners 0.49 (0.12 to 1.2) 0.33 (0.097 to 0.75) 0.52 (0.04 to 1.0) 0.52 (0.04 to 1.0)
Frequency of anal sex for men with men per year (MSM sex)
Main partnerships of MSM 105.6 (91.0 to 120.6) 105.6 (91.0 to 120.6)
Casual partnerships of MSM 7.6 (6.7 to 8.2) 15.2 (13.2 to 16.4)

NA denotes not available.

a

Alternative IBBA survey from 2014 suggests lower HIV prevalence of 13.3% (9.7 to 17.4%).

b

Uncertainty range widened based on different estimates from the 2016 survey and earlier surveys.

c

The rest are vaginal.