Table 2.

Unintended pregnancy rates per 1000 women aged 15–44 years, by geographical area and time period

	1990–94		1995–99		2000–04		2005–09		2010–14		Change from 1990–94 to 2010–14		Percentage change from 1990–94 to 2010–14		Probability of change*
	Rate†	90% UI	Rate†	90% UI	Rate†	90% UI	Rate†	90% UI	Rate†	90% UI	Difference	90% UI	%	90% UI
World	74	72 to 84	70	68 to 78	67	65 to 75	63	61 to 72	62	59 to 72	−12	−20 to −6	−17%	−25 to −8	99.8%
Developing countries	77	74 to 88	72	70 to 82	69	67 to 78	66	63 to 76	65	62 to 76	−12	−21 to −4	−16%	−24 to −5	98.9%
Developed countries	64	59 to 81	59	55 to 73	54	51 to 66	50	47 to 61	45	42 to 56	−19	−29 to −13	−30%	−39 to −21	100%
Excluding Eastern Europe	50	43 to 70	48	43 to 65	46	42 to 61	44	40 to 58	42	38 to 56	−8	−20 to −0	−16%	−31 to −1	95.8%
Africa	107	101 to 127	103	98 to 120	100	95 to 115	95	91 to 110	89	85 to 103	−18	−29 to −10	−17%	−24 to −9	100%
East Africa	127	117 to 145	125	117 to 140	126	120 to 138	122	117 to 133	112	107 to 122	−15	−31 to −4	−12%	−21 to −3	98.5%
Middle Africa	118	101 to 156	119	102 to 155	119	103 to 154	111	98 to 143	103	89 to 134	−16	−37 to 3	−13%	−26 to 3	91.7%
North Africa	98	80 to 156	84	67 to 136	71	55 to 118	68	52 to 116	68	50 to 118	−31	−57 to −11	−31%	−46 to −10	98.6%
Southern Africa	106	87 to 147	103	86 to 139	98	81 to 134	97	79 to 132	94	74 to 133	−11	−35 to 11	−11%	−28 to 10	82.7%
West Africa	87	79 to 102	88	81 to 100	86	80 to 98	78	73 to 89	72	67 to 82	−15	−27 to −5	−17%	−27 to −7	99.4%
Asia	68	64 to 82	63	58 to 74	59	55 to 70	55	51 to 67	54	49 to 68	−14	−25 to −3	−20%	−33 to −4	98.2%
East Asia	54	47 to 71	49	41 to 65	45	36 to 62	44	35 to 63	45	34 to 67	−9	−26 to 9	−17%	−42 to 17	82.5%
South and central Asia	76	65 to 95	69	60 to 83	66	59 to 76	61	54 to 73	59	50 to 75	−17	−36 to 1	−22%	−40 to 2	93.8%
South Asia	76	64 to 95	69	60 to 84	66	59 to 77	62	54 to 73	59	50 to 76	−17	−36 to 2	−22%	−40 to 3	93.3%
Central Asia	73	66 to 91	64	59 to 74	56	50 to 69	52	43 to 67	53	43 to 70	−20	−38 to −6	−28%	−45 to −8	98.7%
Southeast Asia	84	71 to 118	78	67 to 108	71	61 to 101	62	51 to 91	58	47 to 90	−26	−45 to −10	−31%	−44 to −12	99.6%
West Asia	97	85 to 127	95	83 to 124	87	76 to 114	76	66 to 104	70	58 to 100	−28	−44 to −10	−28%	−40 to −10	99.2%
Latin American region	103	96 to 114	99	92 to 111	98	91 to 111	96	88 to 113	96	86 to 116	−7	−20 to 12	−7%	−18 to 12	72.5%
Caribbean	119	105 to 157	119	106 to 156	120	106 to 157	118	102 to 155	116	98 to 156	−3	−27 to 18	−3%	−20 to 15	62.8%
Central America	90	77 to 111	85	72 to 106	85	72 to 107	84	72 to 107	82	67 to 107	−8	−23 to 10	−9%	−24 to 12	77.2%
South America	105	97 to 118	103	93 to 116	100	91 to 117	99	87 to 121	99	85 to 126	−6	−24 to 21	−6%	−22 to 20	63.9%
North America	50	37 to 67	49	40 to 57	51	46 to 57	50	46 to 56	47	40 to 53	−3	−21 to 11	−6%	−33 to 28	63.2%
Europe	66	62 to 81	59	56 to 72	52	49 to 64	46	43 to 57	41	38 to 51	−25	−34 to −19	−38%	−45 to −29	100%
Eastern Europe	104	95 to 125	88	81 to 108	76	69 to 93	65	59 to 77	54	49 to 66	−50	−66 to −39	−48%	−55 to −40	100%
Northern Europe	32	28 to 43	31	27 to 41	28	25 to 38	27	25 to 35	27	25 to 33	−5	−13 to −1	−17%	−32 to −2	96.9%
Southern Europe	53	41 to 95	50	39 to 87	44	34 to 78	41	32 to 75	40	30 to 73	−13	−36 to 2	−25%	−45 to 3	93.6%
Western Europe	28	23 to 42	29	24 to 42	28	23 to 41	28	23 to 42	28	23 to 42	0	−8 to 7	0%	−23 to 24	50.8%
Oceania	49	4 to 5	51	44 to 67	54	46 to 69	53	45 to 67	48	40 to 63	−1	−12 to 8	−2%	−21 to 18	59.1%

Proportionate change is computed from the unrounded estimates and then rounded. As such, there might be slight differences when computing the proportionate change over time from the rounded rates. UI=uncertainty interval.

^*Posterior probability of a change in the estimated direction.

^†Per 1000 women aged 15–44 years.