Table 3.

Percentage of unintended pregnancies that end in abortion, by geographical area and time period

	1990–94		1995–99		2000–04		2005–09		2010–14		Change from 1990–94 to 2010–14		Percentage change from 1990–94 to 2010–14		Probability of change*
	%	90% UI	%	90% UI	%	90% UI	%	90% UI	%	90% UI	Percentage point difference	90% UI	%	90% UI
World	54%	51 to 58	52%	50 to 56	51%	49 to 55	53%	50 to 57	56%	53 to 60	2	−2 to 6	4%	−4 to 11	79.6%
Developing countries	50%	47 to 55	49%	47 to 54	49%	46 to 54	51%	48 to 56	55%	52 to 60	5	1 to 10	11%	1 to 20	97.0%
Developed countries	71%	65 to 76	67%	63 to 72	62%	58 to 67	60%	56 to 66	59%	54 to 65	−12	−17 to −5	−17%	−24 to −7	99.5%
Excluding Eastern Europe	60%	51 to 70	55%	49 to 64	52%	46 to 61	51%	45 to 60	51%	45 to 60	−10	−17 to −0	−16%	−26 to −0	95.1%
Africa	31%	27 to 40	32%	29 to 40	34%	31 to 41	34%	31 to 41	38%	35 to 45	7	2 to 11	23%	5 to 39	99.0%
East Africa	25%	21 to 32	26%	23 to 32	27%	24 to 32	26%	24 to 30	30%	28 to 34	4	−1 to 9	17%	−4 to 43	89.8%
Middle Africa	27%	19 to 41	28%	20 to 42	29%	21 to 43	30%	22 to 43	34%	25 to 47	7	−1 to 14	25%	−2 to 58	93.1%
North Africa	41%	30 to 59	46%	34 to 63	52%	39 to 68	54%	41 to 70	56%	41 to 71	15	4 to 23	36%	7 to 66	98.6%
Southern Africa	30%	19 to 47	31%	20 to 47	34%	23 to 49	33%	22 to 49	36%	23 to 53	6	−4 to 16	20%	−11 to 64	84.5%
West Africa	32%	27 to 41	33%	29 to 40	34%	31 to 41	36%	33 to 43	43%	39 to 48	10	3 to 16	32%	9 to 56	99.3%
Asia	59%	53 to 65	58%	53 to 63	57%	52 to 62	60%	55 to 66	65%	59 to 70	6	−1 to 12	10%	−1 to 22	92.9%
East Asia	79%	67 to 86	77%	65 to 83	76%	63 to 83	77%	64 to 84	77%	64 to 85	−1	−13 to 9	−2%	−17 to 13	60.3%
South and central Asia	46%	38 to 55	47%	40 to 55	48%	43 to 55	53%	48 to 59	62%	54 to 69	16	5 to 26	34%	10 to 66	99.1%
South Asia	45%	37 to 54	46%	39 to 54	48%	42 to 54	52%	47 to 59	61%	53 to 69	16	5 to 27	36%	10 to 70	99.2%
Central Asia	73%	62 to 80	73%	69 to 77	73%	67 to 79	74%	67 to 81	78%	71 to 84	5	−4 to 17	7%	−5 to 28	84.2%
Southeast Asia	54%	45 to 65	53%	46 to 64	52%	44 to 63	55%	46 to 67	59%	50 to 70	5	−4 to 13	9%	−7 to 26	82.1%
West Asia	42%	36 to 54	43%	37 to 54	46%	40 to 57	46%	39 to 58	48%	39 to 61	5	−3 to 14	13%	−7 to 36	86.3%
Latin American region	39%	36 to 43	40%	37 to 46	42%	38 to 47	45%	40 to 51	46%	40 to 54	7	1 to 14	18%	1 to 38	96.3%
Caribbean	50%	44 to 60	50%	44 to 60	49%	43 to 58	50%	44 to 60	51%	44 to 61	1	−6 to 8	1%	−12 to 16	58.7%
Central America	30%	24 to 37	32%	26 to 41	34%	27 to 42	37%	30 to 45	39%	30 to 50	10	1 to 18	33%	4 to 64	96.7%
South America	40%	37 to 45	42%	38 to 48	43%	39 to 50	46%	41 to 55	47%	40 to 57	7	−2 to 17	18%	−4 to 42	90.8%
North America	49%	36 to 65	44%	37 to 52	39%	35 to 43	37%	33 to 41	36%	31 to 42	−13	−29 to 2	−26%	−46 to 4	93.8%
Europe	78%	74 to 81	76%	72 to 79	73%	67 to 77	72%	67 to 76	70%	65 to 75	−8	−13 to −2	−10%	−16 to −3	99.3%
Eastern Europe	85%	80 to 87	85%	82 to 87	79%	72 to 84	79%	75 to 82	77%	71 to 82	−8	−13 to −2	−10%	−16 to −2	98.7%
Northern Europe	66%	52 to 76	64%	50 to 73	65%	51 to 74	67%	55 to 74	64%	53 to 70	−2	−12 to 9	−4%	−16 to 16	64.9%
Southern Europe	70%	61 to 79	66%	57 to 77	65%	55 to 77	63%	52 to 76	64%	51 to 77	−6	−17 to 4	−9%	−24 to 6	83.2%
Western Europe	50%	40 to 65	47%	37 to 61	54%	43 to 68	55%	44 to 68	56%	47 to 67	6	−5 to 16	12%	−9 to 37	80.5%
Oceania	40%	32 to 50	40%	33 to 50	39%	31 to 48	37%	31 to 47	38%	31 to 50	−2	−10 to 7	−5%	−22 to 20	60.8%

Proportionate change is computed from the unrounded estimates and then rounded. As such, there might be slight differences when computing the proportionate change over time from the rounded rates. UI=uncertainty interval.

^*Posterior probability of a change in the estimated direction.