Table 3.
Model Fit Comparisons for the Twin Moderation Models.
Model | −2lnL (df) | χ2Δ (df) | p | AIC | BIC | Adj. BIC |
DIC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Full Sample (N = 964 Twins) | |||||||
Full Model | 2227.64 (780) | – | – | 667.64 | −1226.73 | 10.78 | −509.96 |
Nested Submodels: | |||||||
Constrain A, C, E quad mods | 2232.75 (783) | 5.11 (3) | .16 | 666.75 | −1233.18 | 9.09 | −513.65 |
Constrain linear and quad A mods | 2255.69 (782) | 28.05 (2) | <.001 | 691.69 | −1218.71 | 21.98 | −500.10 |
Constrain linear and quad C mods | 2228.25 (782) | 0.61 (2) | .74 | 664.25 | −1232.43 | 8.26 | −513.82 |
| |||||||
Constrain all C mods and A quad only | 2229.97 (783) | 2.33 (3) | .51 | 663.97 | −1234.57 | 7.71 | −515.04 |
| |||||||
Constrain all C mods and E quad only | 2232.68 (783) | 5.04 (3) | .17 | 666.68 | −1233.21 | 9.06 | −513.68 |
Constrain all C mods, A, E quad | 2232.82 (784) | 5.18 (4) | .27 | 664.82 | −1236.14 | 7.72 | −515.70 |
Constrain linear and quad E mods | 2241.62 (782) | 13.98 (2) | <.001 | 677.62 | −1225.74 | 14.95 | −507.13 |
Constrain all linear and quad moderators for A, C, and E | 2242.05 (786) | 14.41 (6) | .03 | 670.05 | −1237.53 | 9.50 | −515.25 |
Pre-Menarcheal Twins Only (N = 530 Twins) | |||||||
Full Model | 1420.77 (510) | – | – | 400.77 | −713.50 | 95.09 | −244.75 |
Nested Submodels: | |||||||
Constrain A, C, E quad mods | 1421.80 (513) | 1.03 (3) | .79 | 395.80 | −721.27 | 91.98 | −249.85 |
Constrain linear and quad A mods | 1423.33 (512) | 2.56 (2) | .28 | 399.33 | −717.71 | 93.95 | −247.22 |
Constrain linear and quad C mods | 1420.97 (515) | 0.20 (2) | .90 | 396.97 | −718.89 | 92.77 | −248.40 |
Constrain all C mods, A quad only | 1421.62 (513) | 0.85 (3) | .84 | 395.62 | −721.36 | 91.89 | −249.94 |
Constrain all C mods, E quad only | 1421.63 (513) | 0.96 (3) | .81 | 395.73 | −721.30 | 91.95 | −249.89 |
| |||||||
Constrain all C mods, A, E quad | 1422.05 (514) | 1.28 (4) | .86 | 394.05 | −723.93 | 90.90 | −251.69 |
| |||||||
Constrain linear and quad E mods | 1431.66 (512) | 10.89 (2) | .004 | 407.66 | −713.55 | 98.12 | −243.05 |
Constrain A, C, Moderators | 1433.49 (516) | 12.72 (6) | .047 | 401.49 | −723.80 | 94.21 | −249.63 |
Note. −2lnL = minus twice the log-likelihood; χ2Δ = chi-square change; AIC = Akaike information criterion; BIC = Bayesian information criterion; Adj. BIC = sample-size adjusted BIC; DIC = deviance information criterion; Full Model = model with paths and all moderators; mods = moderators; quad = quadratic or non-linear moderators; A = additive genetic effects; C = shared environmental effects; E = nonshared environmental effects. Each nested model is compared to the full model when calculating the χ2Δ and degrees of freedom. The best-fitting models are noted by bolded text and borders. Unstandardized estimates (with 95% confidence intervals in parentheses) from the best-fitting models were as follows: Full Sample: a = −0.81 (−1.04, −0.49), c = 0.36 (−0.59, .59), e = −0.42 (−0.64, −0.26), βXM = 0.21 (.02, 0.43), βYM = 0, βZM = −0.36 (−0.58, −0.11), βX2M2 = 0; βY2M2 = 0; βZ2M2 = 0.05 (−0.01, .12); Premenarcheal Twins Only: a = 0.78 (0.34, 1.06), c = −0.41 (−0.62, 0.62), e = −0.48 (−0.66, −0.33), βXM = −0.26 (−0.48, −0.04), βYM = 0, βZM = −0.20 (−0.31, −0.09), βX2M2 = 0; βY2M2 = 0; βZ2M2 = 0.