Table 4.
Results for models with descending numbers of limiting factors
Model | Covariates included | df | AICc | Δi | W i | R 2 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stock, Nov–Dec, Mar, Apr–Jun, Jul–Aug, Sep–Oct | 23 | 593.0 | 42.0 | 0.0000 | 0.62 |
2 | Stock, Mar, Apr–Jun, Jul–Aug, Sep–Oct | 26 | 575.1 | 24.1 | 0.0000 | 0.62 |
3 | Stock, Nov–Dec, Apr–Jun, Jul–Aug, Sep–Oct | 26 | 575.1 | 24.1 | 0.0000 | 0.62 |
4 | Stock, Nov–Dec, Mar, Jul–Aug, Sep-Oct | 26 | 586.7 | 35.7 | 0.0000 | 0.49 |
5 | Stock, Nov–Dec, Mar, Apr–Jun, Sep–Oct | 26 | 582.8 | 31.8 | 0.0000 | 0.54 |
6 | Stock, Nov–Dec, Mar, Apr–Jun, Jul–Aug | 26 | 575.1 | 24.1 | 0.0000 | 0.62 |
7 | Stock, Apr–Jun, Jul–Aug | 32 | 551.0 | 0.0 | 0.5794 | 0.62 |
8 | Stock, Apr–Jun | 35 | 564.7 | 13.7 | 0.0006 | 0.31 |
9 | Stock, Jul–Aug | 35 | 551.6 | 0.6 | 0.4199 | 0.51 |
10 | Stock | 38 | 571.3 | 20.3 | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
Note: df–degrees of freedom, AICc–bias adjusted Akaike’s information criterion, Δi is–simple difference in AICc from the model with the minimum AICc, Wi–the Akaike weight, R2–the coefficient of determination. See Table 1 for a key to abbreviations of covariate names. Model 1 includes all limiting factors. Models 2 through 6 have one factor eliminated. Food availability in November–December, March and September–October provided the least value and these factors were eliminated in model 7. Models 7 and 9 could not be distinguished on the basis of our selection criteria: Δi < 2. Models without stock (prior abundance in the fall) were not ecologically plausible