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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Nov 23.
Published in final edited form as: Nature. 2018 May 23;557(7707):719–723. doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0157-4
exp(−λ(t)) - where more than 90 days have passed since an infection by any serotype and the individual has not previously been infected by serotype s
0 - otherwise, including periods when the individual is not part of the study