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. 2018 May 17;12(8):905–919. doi: 10.1093/ecco-jcc/jjy047

Table 4.

Predictors of lower respiratory tract infections in GEMINI 1 and 2.a

Variable All patients Patients with AE Adjusted results
HR [95% CI] p-Value
UC population [GEMINI 1] n = 769 n = 38
Age, mean [SD] years 40.3 [13.0] 42.5 [13.3] 1.00 [0.98–1.03] 0.770
Female sex, n [%] 313 [40.7] 22 [57.9] 2.11 [1.07–4.14] 0.030
Disease duration ≥7 years, n [%] 267 [34.7] 18 [47.4] 1.49 [0.77–2.88] 0.242
Previous TNF antagonist therapy, n [%] 384 [49.9] 25 [65.8] 2.20 [1.10–4.41] 0.027
Baseline disease activity, mean [SD] complete Mayo score 6.1 [1.6] 5.8 [1.6] 0.97 [0.79–1.18] 0.733
Concomitant narcotic use, n [%] 148 [19.2] 8.0 [21.1] 0.82 [0.37–1.83] 0.628
Concomitant corticosteroid use, n [%] 409 [53.2] 19 [50.0] 0.76 [0.40–1.46] 0.415
Concomitant immunomodulator use, n [%] 257 [33.4] 16 [42.1] 1.51 [0.79–2.91] 0.217
Current smoker, n [%]b 47 [6.1] 1.0 [2.6] 0.61 [0.08–4.63] 0.635
Former smoker, n [%]b 254 [33.0] 18 [47.4] 2.01 [0.99–4.07] 0.053
In-study surgery, n [%] 64 [8.3] 4.0 [10.5] 1.11 [0.25–4.92] 0.896
Vedolizumab treatment, n [%] 620 [80.6] 31 [81.6] 0.72 [0.31–1.69] 0.452
CD population [GEMINI 2] n = 962 n = 55
Age, mean [SD] years 35.9 [12.14] 37.1 [12.19] 0.99 [0.97–1.02] 0.603
Female sex, n [%] 514 [53.4] 37 [67.3] 1.64 [0.92–2.92] 0.093
Disease duration ≥7 years, n [%] 483 [50.2] 34 [61.8] 1.35 [0.75–2.43] 0.324
Previous TNF antagonist therapy, n [%] 607 [63.1] 40 [72.7] 1.41 [0.73–2.72] 0.303
Baseline disease activity, mean [SD] score 11.2 [3.8] 12.0 [3.7] 1.05 [0.98–1.13] 0.136
Concomitant narcotic use, n [%] 315 [32.7] 20 [36.4] 0.85 [0.47–1.54] 0.597
Concomitant corticosteroid use, n [%] 488 [50.7] 24 [43.6] 0.83 [0.49–1.42] 0.493
Concomitant immunomodulator use, n [%] 321 [33.4] 13 [23.6] 0.67 [0.36–1.27] 0.225
Current smoker, n [%]b 250 [26.0] 24 [43.6] 2.37 [1.26–4.45] 0.008
Former smoker, n [%]b 219 [22.8] 13 [23.6] 1.51 [0.73–3.15] 0.271
In-study surgery, n [%] 139 [14.4] 10 [18.2] 2.03 [0.83–4.95] 0.119
Vedolizumab treatment, n [%] 814 [84.6] 48 [87.3] 0.94 [0.42–2.10] 0.872
Combined UC and CD population [GEMINI 1 and 2] n = 1731 n = 93
Age, mean [SD] years 37.9 [12.7] 39.3 [12.8] 1.00 [0.98–1.02] 0.994
Female sex, n [%] 827 [47.8] 59 [63.4] 1.84 [1.19–2.83] 0.006
Disease duration ≥7 years, n [%] 750 [43.3] 52 [55.9] 1.35 [0.88–2.09] 0.173
Previous TNF antagonist therapy, n [%] 991 [57.3] 65 [69.9] 1.70 [1.06–2.73] 0.028
Baseline disease activity, mean [SD] scorec 5.8 [1.7] 5.9 [1.7] 1.07 [0.95–1.22] 0.278
Concomitant narcotic use, n [%] 463 [26.7] 28 [30.1] 0.87 [0.55–1.39] 0.565
Concomitant corticosteroid use, n [%] 897 [51.8] 43 [46.2] 0.83 [0.55–1.25] 0.382
Concomitant immunomodulator use, n [%] 578 [33.4] 29 [31.2] 0.96 [0.62–1.50] 0.862
Current smoker, n [%]b 297 [17.2] 25 [26.9] 1.97 [1.17–3.31] 0.011
Former smoker, n [%]b 473 [27.3] 31 [33.3] 1.74 [1.06–2.87] 0.029
In-study surgery, n [%] 203 [11.7] 14 [15.1] 1.65 [0.78–3.49] 0.195
Vedolizumab treatment, n [%] 1434 [82.8] 79 [84.9] 0.85 [0.48–1.52] 0.585

LRTI is defined according to the MedDRA high-level term ‘lower respiratory tract and lung infection’.

AE, adverse event; CD, Crohn’s disease; CI, confidence interval; HBI, Harvey–Bradshaw Index; HR, hazard ratio, SD, standard deviation; TNF, tumour necrosis factor; UC, ulcerative colitis.

aAnalysis based on Cox proportional hazards model.

bCurrent and former smoker estimates are relative to non-smokers.

cBaseline disease activity scores based on partial Mayo Score for GEMINI 1 [UC], HBI score for GEMINI 2 [CD], and common index for pooled GEMINI 1 and 2. Common index ranged from 0 to 9 to allow the combination of baseline partial Mayo and HBI scores in the pooled analysis.