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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Epidemiology. 2018 Sep;29(5):675–683. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000855

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Model-predicted daily numbers of symptom onsets (blue, triangle) versus observed numbers (black, circle) for different contact settings (A) Overall; (B) Urban households; (C) Rural households. The predicted numbers were generated by simulating the epidemics, conditioning on the cases of the first 4 days, for 10000 times, each time using a set of parameters sampled from their posterior distributions. Each blue vertical bar represents the 95% range and the blue dot represents the mean of simulated numbers.