Table 3.
Multivariable logistic regression and bootstrap analysis for predictors for development of sepsis in patients admitted for severe malaria
Predictors | Category | aOR | 95% CI | p value | BOR | B 95% CI | B p value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sex*,b | Female | 2.36 | 1.34, 4.17 | 0.003 | 2.36 | 1.30, 4.29 | 0.005 |
Male | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||||
Coma on admissionb | Yes | 2.17 | 1.21, 3.90 | 0.010 | 2.17 | 1.19, 3.93 | 0.011 |
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||||
Prostration on admission | Yes | 1.00 | 0.55, 1.84 | 0.989 | 1.00 | 0.55, 1.84 | 0.989 |
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||||
Mean arterial pressure (mmHg) | 0.99 | 0.97, 1.01 | 0.325 | 0.99 | 0.97, 1.01 | 0.308 | |
Shock on admissionb | Yes | 2.85 | 1.35, 5.99 | 0.006 | 2.85 | 1.29, 6.28 | 0.009 |
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||||
Haemoglobin on admission (mg/dl) | 0.98 | 0.90, 1.07 | 0.646 | 0.98 | 0.89, 1.08 | 0.687 | |
BUN (mg/dl)*,b | 1.01 | 1.00, 1.02 | 0.004 | 1.01 | 1.00, 1.02 | 0.005 | |
Visible jaundice on admissionb | Yes | 1.78 | 1.03, 3.07 | 0.038 | 1.78 | 1.02, 3.10 | 0.042 |
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||||
Base excess on admission (mmol/l) | 1.01 | 0.97, 1.05 | 0.735 | 1.01 | 0.97, 1.05 | 0.742 | |
Anion gap on admission*,b | 1.02 | 1.01, 1.05 | 0.043 | 1.02 | 1.00, 1.05 | 0.050 | |
Percentage parasitaemia on admission (%)b | 1.03 | 1.01, 1.06 | 0.008 | 1.03 | 1.01, 1.06 | 0.014 | |
Respiratory rate on admission (cycles/minute) | 0.98 | 0.95, 1.02 | 0.344 | 0.98 | 0.95, 1.02 | 0.328 | |
Respiratory distress on admissionb | Yes | 3.62 | 1.69, 7.76 | 0.013 | 3.62 | 1.64, 8.02 | 0.002 |
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||||
Somers’ Da | 0.52 | 0.49 |
aOR adjusted odds ratio, CI confidence interval, BUN blood urea nitrogen, BOR bootstrapped odds ratio, B bootstrapped, mmol/l millimoles per litre, mg/dl milligrams per decilitre
* Variables significant on multivariable analysis
aEstimate of optimism = 0.03
bIncluded in final regression model