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. 2018 Mar 29;187(8):1623–1629. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy066

Table 2.

Radiation Dose and Population Density Associations With Risk of Solid Cancer Mortality Among 86,660 Atomic Bomb Survivors With Known Radiation Dosesa, Life Span Study, Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Japan, 1950–2003

Model Radiation Dose Population Density AIC
ERRb 95% CI RRc 95% CI
Based 0.448 0.340, 0.557 43,714.5
With density 0.425 0.315, 0.535 1.018 0.998, 1.039 43,713.3
With density × age 0.428 0.318, 0.538 43,711.6
 <10 years 1.002e 0.945, 1.062
 10–14 years 1.069e 1.025, 1.115
 15–29 years 1.031e 0.999, 1.064
 ≥30 years 1.009e 0.985, 1.033

Abbreviations: AIC, Akaike information criterion; CI, confidence interval; ERR, excess relative risk; RR, relative risk.

a The Dosimetry System 2002 (1, 2) method was used to estimate Dosimetry System 2002 Revision 1 (DS02R1)-weighted absorbed colon doses.

b Sex-averaged ERR of solid cancer mortality per gray increase in weighted absorbed colon dose, among those exposed to a radiation dose with a total shielded kinetic energy released per unit mass of ≤4 gray at age 30 years and who achieved an attained age of 70 years.

c Relative risk of solid cancer mortality per 5,000-people/km2 increase in population density.

d Base model adjusted for city, distance >5 km, sex, age at exposure, and attained age as well as effect modification by sex, age at exposure, attained age, and total shielded kinetic energy released per unit mass of >4 gray.

e Likelihood ratio P value for evaluating the null hypothesis of equality in relative risks across age groups (3 degrees of freedom): P = 0.052.