Table 3.
Selected Risk Factors for the Final Model and their Hazard Ratio for 10-Year Mortality in the Training Data Set (N = 23,615)
Risk Factorsa | HR (95% CI)b |
---|---|
Age groups (years) | |
60 to <65 | 1.0 (reference) |
65 to <70 | 1.53 (1.23–1.91) |
70 to <75 | 2.45 (2.09–2.86) |
75 to <80 | 3.94 (3.53–4.39) |
80 to <85 | 5.89 (4.89–7.09) |
≥85 | 9.32 (7.14–12.18) |
Diabetes | 1.53 (1.25–1.88) |
Heart disease | 1.26 (1.10–1.45) |
Lung disease | 1.41 (1.29–1.54) |
Cancer | 1.79 (1.25–2.58) |
Smoking | |
Never | 1.0 (reference) |
Former | 1.17 (1.10–1.25) |
Current | 1.70 (1.35–2.13) |
Current alcohol use | 0.83 (0.78–0.89) |
BMI (kg/m2) | |
Underweight (<18.5) | 1.60 (1.38–1.85) |
Normal weight (18.5 to <25) | 1.0 (reference) |
Overweight (25 to <30) | 0.81 (0.77–0.87) |
Obese (≥30) | 0.81 (0.71–0.92) |
Physical activity | 0.80 (0.75–0.85) |
Difficulty with bathing | 1.40 (1.10–1.77) |
Difficulty with walking several blocks | 1.49 (1.32–1.69) |
Difficulty reporting the date of the interview | 1.18 (1.11–1.25) |
Self-reported health | |
Excellent, very good, good | 1.0 (reference) |
Fair, poor | 1.25 (1.10–1.42) |
Notes: CI = confidence interval; HR = hazard ratio.
aAs defined in Table 1.
bIndividual patient data meta-analysis stratified by sex.