Table 6. Parameter estimates for the 2013/14 dengue epidemic when the model was fitted to MIA or ELISA data.

Median estimates are shown, with 95% credible intervals shown in parentheses. Mean $R_0$ is the average basic reproduction number over a year. Proportion reported was calculated by sampling from the negative binomial distribution that defines the model observation process (i.e. the credible interval reflects both underreporting and dispersion in weekly case reporting). $I_{hc}^0$ and $I_{ha}^0$ denote the number of initially infectious individuals in the younger and older age group respectively.

Parameter	MIA	ELISA
Mean $R_0$	1.12 (1.02–1.25)	1.49 (1.35–1.69)
Peak $R_0$	1.87 (1.7–2.07)	2.5 (2.29–2.81)
Control reduction	0.57 (0.42–0.82)	0.70 (0.37–0.95)
Proportion reported, lab (%)	11 (1.1–39)	13 (2.6–36)
Proportion reported, DLI (%)	9.3 (0.99–37)	12 (2.8–35)
$I_{hc}^0$	140 (18–550)	0.98 (0.21–3.8)
$I_{ha}^0$	130 (19–680)	1.3 (0.0094–57)