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. 2018 Aug 15;8:12201. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-30647-8

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Simulated compared to observed CHIKV cases in the cities of Riohacha and Santa Marta. We calibrated model parameters for an epidemic scenario without vector control to the observed epidemic in Riohacha and parameters for a scenario with vector control to the epidemic in Santa Marta. Observed values used to calibrate the model are shown in black (first 24 weeks) and additional values used to test the model in blue. (A) Observed number of symptomatic CHIKV cases per week in Riohacha and the corresponding number of simulated cases (average of 100 simulations) for an epidemic scenario with (green) and without (red) vector control; (B) As (A), but for the city of Santa Marta.