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. 2018 Aug 16;13(8):e0201985. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0201985

Table 2. Model inputs for probabilities, utilities and costs.

Parameter Base case value Range of variation Basis of variation References
Unit costs (in 2016 €)
Stent
    Everolimus-eluting stent (EES) 847 424–1,271 ±50%; uniform [12]
    Bare metal stent (BMS) 440 220–660 ±50%; uniform [12]
Myocardial infarction (MI)
    Initial STEMI, discharged alive 926 463–1,389 ±50%; uniform [12]
    Initial STEMI, discharged dead 1,817 909–2,726 ±50%; uniform [12]
    Repeat MI, discharged alive 2,846 1423–4,269 ±50%; uniform [12]
    Repeat MI, discharged dead 3,737 1869–5,606 ±50%; uniform [12]
Stent thrombosis (STT) event
    Initial event, discharged alive 926 463–1,389 ±50%; uniform [12]
    Initial event, discharged dead 1,817 909–2,726 ±50%; uniform [12]
    Repeat event, discharged alive 2,846 1423–4,269 ±50%; uniform [12]
    Repeat event, discharged dead 3,737 1869–5,606 ±50%; uniform [12]
Revascularization
    Coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) 16,068 8,034–24,102 ±50%; uniform [12]
    Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) without MI 1,920 960–2880 ±50%; uniform [12]
Annual cardiovascular outpatient treatment and drug costs (excluding revascularization therapy costs) 327 164–491 ±50%; uniform Assumption1
Long-term annual cardiovascular treatment costs after year 5 (including revascularization therapy costs) 1,135 568–1,703 ±50%; uniform [13, 14]
Anti-platelet therapy costs after revascularization event (12 months) 240 120–360 ±50%; uniform Assumption2
Life expectancy (in years)
5-year follow-up survivors * ±25%; triangular [8],[9]
Utility scores and decrements
Baseline utility score ±25%; triangular [10]
Initial STEMI event
    First year after event -0.120 -0.090 - -0.150 ±25%; triangular [11]
    Subsequent years after event -0.085 -0.064 - -0.106 ±25%; triangular [11]
Repeat MI event
    First year after event -0.060 -0.045 - -0.075 ±25%; triangular Assumption3
    Subsequent years after event -0.043 -0.032 - -0.054 ±25%; triangular Assumption3
STT event
    First year after event -0.060 -0.045 - -0.075 ±25%; triangular Assumption3
    Subsequent years after event -0.043 -0.032 - -0.054 ±25%; triangular Assumption3
Revascularization (CABG or PCI)
    First year after event -0.060 -0.045 - -0.075 ±25%; triangular Assumption4
    Subsequent years after event 0.000 NA Assumption5
Decrement due to ageing * ±25%; triangular [10]

EES = everolimus-eluting stent. BMS = bare metal stent. MI = myocardial infarction. STEMI = ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. STT = stent thrombosis. CABG = coronary artery bypass graft. PCI = percutaneous coronary intervention.

* = age dependent

1 = assumed to be half as high as long-term annual cardiovascular treatment costs.

2 = assumed to cost around €20 per month for a duration of twelve months.

3 = assumed to affect utility only half as much as the initial STEMI event.

4 = assumed to have the same impact on utility as repeat MI or STT events for a year.

5 = no effect was assumed for subsequent years.