Fig. 4.
Predicted impact of combinations of interventions in Papua New Guinea. Model predictions are based on the median of 100 stochastic simulations. a, b Estimated PvPRLM in Papua New Guinea provinces based on household surveys from 2010 and 2014. c Model-predicted prevalence in 2025 under a scenario where LLINs are distributed every 3 years at 80% coverage levels. d Combinations of interventions required to obtain pre-elimination (defined as prevalence < 0.1%) by 2025. Grey shading indicates that the interventions considered were predicted not to be sufficient to reduce prevalence to <0.1%