Table 8.

Policy model: annual effects of a 25% reduction in the serving size of alcohol sold in the on‐trade on alcohol‐related deaths and hospital admissions, compared to a ‘no policy’ baseline model, 20 years after policy implementation.

Policy scenario	Deaths per year		Hospital admissions per year
	Absolute	Relative	Absolute	Relative
Baseline	12 284		833 722
(1) 20.7% reduction in all on‐trade alcohol consumption	−1616	−13.16%	−87 853	−10.54%
(2) 20.7% reduction on on‐trade beer, cider and wine consumption only	−1360	−11.07%	−73 244	−8.79%
(3) 10.3% reduction in all on‐trade alcohol consumption	−819	−6.67%	−44 021	−5.28%
(4) 10.3% reduction in on‐trade beer, cider and wine consumption only	−687	−5.59%	−36 650	−4.40%