ARMS vs. controls		FEP vs. controls		FEP vs. ARMS
	adj. B (95% CI)	P	adj. B (95% CI)	P	adj. B (95% CI)	P
Δ Indirect effects
Event-related stress → negative affect → psychotic experiences	0.009 (-0.003 – 0.020)	0.129	0.004 (-0.009 – 0.018)	0.582	-0.005 (-0.020 – 0.012)	0.520
Event-related stress → aberrant salience → psychotic experiences	-0.004 (-0.020 – 0.008)	0.404	-0.011 (-0.021 – -0.001)	0.037	-0.006 (-0.021 – -0.001)	0.370
Event-related stress → negative affect → threat anticipation → psychotic experiences	0.000 (-0.000 – 0.000)	0.824	0.000 (-0.000 – 0.001)	0.301	0.000 (-0.000 – 0.001)	0.431
Activity-related stress → negative affect → psychotic experiences	0.018 (0.001 – 0.036)	0.039	0.017 (-0.001 – 0.037)	0.072	-0.001 (-0.022 – 0.021)	0.928
Activity-related stress → threat anticipation → psychotic experiences	-0.001 (-0.008 – 0.006)	0.848	0.006 (-0.001 – 0.013)	0.084	0.007 (-0.002 – 0.015)	0.126
Activity-related stress → negative affect → threat anticipation → psychotic experiences	0.000 (-0.001 – 0.001)	0.994	0.001 (0.000 – 0.002)	0.062	0.001 (-0.000 – 0.003)	0.109
Social stress → negative affect → psychotic experiences	-0.004 (-0.018 – 0.012)	0.642	-0.004 (-0.017 – 0.009)	0.534	-0.001 (-0.017 – 0.015)	0.950
Social stress → negative affect → threat anticipation → psychotic experiences	0.000 (-0.001 – 0.000)	0.379	0.000 (-0.000 – 0.001)	0.446	0.000 (-0.000 – 0.001)	0.141
Negative affect → threat anticipation → psychotic experiences	-0.001 (-0.006 – 0.004)	0.659	0.005 (-0.001 – 0.011)	0.115	0.006 (-0.000 – 0.014)	0.090