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. 2018 Aug 20;8:12440. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-30988-4

Table 4.

Parameters tested for sensitivity to prior distributions, with resulting percent relative change (PRC) and error measurements as coefficient of variation (CV) in the Bayesian state-space model.

Variable Description PRC CV
LS − 10% 10% Underestimate of litter size −0.68 0.68
LS + 10% 10% Overestimate of litter size 1.09 1.09
PR − 10% 10% Underestimate of pregnancy rate −0.98 0.98
PR + 10% 10% Overestimate of pregnancy rate 1.25 1.25
HSm − 10% 10% Underestimate of male harvest season survival −0.04 0.04
HSm + 10% 10% Overestimate of male harvest season survival 0.02 0.02
HSf − 10% 10% Underestimate of female harvest season survival −0.43 0.43
HSf + 10% 10% Overestimate of female harvest season survival 0.93 0.92
NHS − 10% 10% Underestimate of non-harvest season survival 1.64 1.85
NHS + 10% 10% Overestimate of non-harvest season survival N/A N/A
Rep − 10% 10% Underestimate of reporting rate 7.33 7.26
Rep + 10% 10% Overestimate of reporting rate N/A N/A
CubSa − 10% 10% Underestimate of cub season a survival −0.44 0.43
CubSa + 10% 10% Overestimate of cub season a survival 1.30 1.30
CubSb − 10% 10% Underestimate of cub season b survival 1.46 1.48
CubSb + 10% 10% Overestimate of cub season b survival −1.49 1.49
N − 10% 10% Underestimate of starting population −1.81 1.84
N + 10% 10% Overestimate of starting population 1.98 2.02