Table 2.
Consensus population size estimates of South African female sex workers (FSWs) in the South Africa Health Monitoring Study 2013-2014.
| City and method | FSW count, n | Sample proportion, p | Point estimate, N (95% CI or range) |
Final estimate, n (%)a | Plausible results, range (%) | |
| Johannesburg |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wisdom of the crowds | N/Ab | N/A | 3000c | 7697 (0.48) | 5000-10,895 (0.31-0.69) |
| Unique object | 1351 | 0.124 | 10,895 (582-25,018) | |||
| Unique event | 27 | 0.006 | 4500 (272-N/A) | |||
| Service multiplier | 261 | 0.341 | 765c | |||
| Literature | N/A | N/A | 10,894 | |||
| Cape Town |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wisdom of the crowds | N/A | N/A | 1500c | 6500 (0.49) | 4579-9000 (0.35-0.69) |
| Unique object | 950 | 0.04 | 23,750c | |||
| Unique event | 75 | 0.01 | 7500 (1380-37,500) | |||
| Service multiplier 1 | 577 | 0.126 | 4579 (3153-6869) | |||
| Service multiplier 2 | 398 | 0.156 | 2551 (1708-3585) | |||
| Literature | N/A | N/A | 7351 | |||
| eThekwini |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wisdom of the crowds | N/A | N/A | 4000 (3000-5000) | 9323 (0.77) | 4000-10,000 (0.33-0.83) |
| Unique object | 952 | 0.075 | 11,200 (326-34,000) | |||
| Unique event | 56 | 0.085 | 747c | |||
| Service multiplier 1 | 642 | 0.05 | 12,840 (7379-33,879) | |||
| Service multiplier 2 | 578 | 0.062 | 9323 (5255-17,515) | |||
| Literature | N/A | N/A | 6145 | |||
a% adult female population.
bN/A: not applicable.
cImplausible estimate not used in the calculation of median preliminary population size estimate.