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. 2018 Aug 7;4(3):e10188. doi: 10.2196/10188

Table 2.

Consensus population size estimates of South African female sex workers (FSWs) in the South Africa Health Monitoring Study 2013-2014.

City and method FSW count, n Sample proportion, p Point estimate, N
(95% CI or range)
Final estimate, n (%)a Plausible results, range (%)
Johannesburg





Wisdom of the crowds N/Ab N/A 3000c 7697 (0.48) 5000-10,895 (0.31-0.69)
Unique object 1351 0.124 10,895 (582-25,018)
Unique event 27 0.006 4500 (272-N/A)
Service multiplier 261 0.341 765c
Literature N/A N/A 10,894
Cape Town





Wisdom of the crowds N/A N/A 1500c 6500 (0.49) 4579-9000 (0.35-0.69)
Unique object 950 0.04 23,750c
Unique event 75 0.01 7500 (1380-37,500)
Service multiplier 1 577 0.126 4579 (3153-6869)
Service multiplier 2 398 0.156 2551 (1708-3585)
Literature N/A N/A 7351
eThekwini





Wisdom of the crowds N/A N/A 4000 (3000-5000) 9323 (0.77) 4000-10,000 (0.33-0.83)
Unique object 952 0.075 11,200 (326-34,000)
Unique event 56 0.085 747c
Service multiplier 1 642 0.05 12,840 (7379-33,879)
Service multiplier 2 578 0.062 9323 (5255-17,515)
Literature N/A N/A 6145

a% adult female population.

bN/A: not applicable.

cImplausible estimate not used in the calculation of median preliminary population size estimate.