Table 7.
Economy-wide impacts of alternative adaptation scenarios
| Average annual real per capita absorption growth rate, 2003–2050 (%) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline scenario (1) | Climate change scenario (2) | Adaptation scenarios | ||||
| Transport policy (3 = 2+) | Agricultural extension (4 = 3+) | Irrigation investment (5 = 3+) | Education policy (6 = 3+) | |||
| Global wet | 2.12 | 1.85 | 1.93 | 2.23 | 1.96 | 2.23 |
| Global dry | 2.12 | 1.74 | 1.81 | 2.12 | 1.84 | 2.12 |
| Local wet | 2.12 | 1.91 | 1.97 | 2.27 | 2.00 | 2.28 |
| Local dry | 2.12 | 2.03 | 2.05 | 2.33 | 2.08 | 2.36 |
Source: results from the DCGE model
The effects of scenarios 1–3 are cumulative, such that the impact of transport policy changes in column 3 should be compared to the results from column 2. By contrast, the adaptation policies in columns 4–6 are run independently of each other and so should each be compared to column 3