Table 1.
Model | Sample size | R2 | Residual mean absolute error, % | Precipitation coefficient and 95% CI | ETo coefficient and 95% CI |
All | 3,119 | 0.271 | 23.3 | 1.41 [1.32, 1.50] | −1.09 [−1.42, −0.76] |
Natural | 570 | 0.363 | 20.0 | 1.43 [1.24, 1.61] | −1.41 [−2.00, −0.81] |
Human modified | 2,549 | 0.256 | 24.1 | 1.41 [1.31, 1.51] | −1.01 [−1.39, −0.63] |
For all three models, the median daily streamflow trend (in percentage) is the dependent variable and total water-year precipitation and ETo trend (both in percentage) are the independent variables. All models and all individual regression coefficients have P < 0.001. CIs show considerable overlap between models, suggesting that a differential response to climate forcing is not evident.