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. 2018 Aug 1;34:223–230. doi: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2018.07.025

Table 2.

Prediction properties of internal and external validation.

Method Internal validation
External validation
AUC Cutoff SEN SPE PPV NPV SEN SPE PPV NPV
Decision Tree* / / 0.980 0.554 0.941 0.791 0.910 0.405 0.784 0.653
Random Forest* / / 0.974 0.605 0.947 0.760 0.917 0.446 0.798 0.692
DB 0.567 93.7 0.837 0.318 0.900 0.212 0.646 0.537 0.769 0.389
76.9 0.950 0.146 0.890 0.286 0.878 0.372 0.769 0.563
ln(ALP) 0.572 6.3 0.656 0.468 0.900 0.157 0.514 0.545 0.729 0.320
7.0 0.950 0.121 0.887 0.249 0.997 0 0.703 0
ln(GGT) 0.845 5.8 0.786 0.796 0.966 0.338 0.885 0.124 0.706 0.313
4.9 0.950 0.408 0.921 0.528 0.997 0 0.703 0
GGT < 300 (U/l) 0.000 1.000 / 0.344 0.000 1.000 / 0.508
GGT≥300 (U/l) 0.960 0.200 0.965 0.178 0.945 0.033 0.867 0.083
Logistic Regression*§ 0.898 0.85 0.857 0.803 0.969 0.434 0.712 0.760 0.876 0.526
0.65 0.950 0.599 0.945 0.622 0.837 0.570 0.823 0.595
GGT < 300 (U/l) 0.448 0.957 0.952 0.477 0.284 0.890 0.714 0.563
GGT≥300 (U/l) 0.951 0.350 0.971 0.237 0.900 0.367 0.905 0.355

Abbreviations: AUC, area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve; SEN, sensitivity; SPE, specificity; PPV, positive prediction value; NPV, negative prediction value.

Note: *Based on the combination of gender, weight, DB, ln(ALP) and ln(GGT).§The external validation was based on the cutoff value.