Table 1.
Model input parameters: probabilities, utilities and costs
Parameter | Base case value | Lower limit | Upper limit | Distribution | Source | IRIS trial base value* |
Probabilities | ||||||
Proportion of women experiencing abuse | 0.17 | 0.147 | 0.194 | Beta | 17 | 0.17 |
Starting distribution for women who are abused | ||||||
Abused and identified, seeing advocate educator | 0.003† | 0 | 0.0066 | Uniform | ‡ | – |
Abused and identified, not seeing advocate educator | 0.033† | 0 | 0.0660 | Uniform | ‡ | – |
Abused but not identified | 0.964† | – | – | Uniform | Complement | – |
Transition probabilities | ||||||
Not abused to abused but not identified | 0.0037† | 0.0004 | 0.0106 | Dirichlet | ‡ | 0.0075 |
Not abused to dead | 0.00551† | 0.0010 | 0.0136 | Dirichlet | 13 15 | 0.0058 |
Stay in Not abused | 0.9908† | - | - | Dirichlet | Complement | 0.9867 |
Abused but not identified to not abused (control) | 0.0500† | 0.0450 | 0.0553 | Dirichlet | ‡ | 0.025 |
Abused but not identified to abused and identified, not seeing advocate educator (control) | 0.0027† | 0.0016 | 0.0040 | Dirichlet | IRIS-programme local sites | 0.0094 |
Abused but not identified to abused and identified, seeing advocate educator (control) | 0.0005† | 0.0001 | 0.0011 | Dirichlet | IRIS-programme local sites | 0.0016 |
Abused but not identified to dead (control) | 0.00554† | 0.0039 | 0.0074 | Dirichlet | 13 15 | 0.0059 |
Stay in abused but not identified (control) | 0.9444† | - | - | Dirichlet | Complement | 0.9581 |
Abused but not identified to not abused (intervention) | 0.0500† | 0.0450 | 0.0553 | Dirichlet | ‡ | 0.025 |
Abused but not identified to abused and identified, not seeing advocate educator (intervention) | 0.0109† | 0.0086 | 0.0135 | Dirichlet | IRIS-programme local sites | 0.0207 |
Abused but not identified to abused and identified, seeing advocate educator (intervention) | 0.0056† | 0.0040 | 0.0076 | Dirichlet | IRIS-programme local sites | 0.0101 |
Abused but not identified to dead (intervention) | 0.00554† | 0.0039 | 0.0074 | Dirichlet | 6 | 0.0059 |
Stay in abused but not identified (intervention) | 0.9419† | - | - | Dirichlet | Complement | 0.9383 |
Abused and identified, seeing advocate educator to not abused | 0.1408† | 0.0707 | 0.2301 | Dirichlet | 18 | 0.0888 |
Abused and identified, seeing advocate educator to dead | 0.00554† | 0.0000 | 0.0309 | Dirichlet | 13 15 | 0.0059 |
Stay in abused and identified, seeing advocate educator | 0.8536† | - | - | Dirichlet | Complement | 0.9053 |
Abused and identified, not seeing advocate educator to not abused | 0.0781† | 0.0136 | 0.1912 | Dirichlet | 18 | 0.0717 |
Abused and identified, not seeing advocate educator to dead | 0.00554† | 0.0000 | 0.0438 | Dirichlet | 13 15 | 0.0059 |
Stay in abused and identified, not seeing advocate educator | 0.9163† | - | - | Dirichlet | Complement | 0.9223 |
Utilities | ||||||
Not abused | 0.85 | 0.840 | 0.860 | Beta | 23 | – |
Abused but not identified | 0.63 | 0.503 | 0.749 | Beta | 24 | – |
Abused and identified, seeing advocate educator | 0.65 | 0.518 | 0.771 | Beta | 24 | – |
Abused and identified, not seeing advocate educator | 0.63 | 0.503 | 0.749 | Beta | 24 | – |
Costs | ||||||
Costs of the intervention, per women registered, per 6 months | £0.46† | £0.01 | £1.69 | Gamma | IRIS-programme local sites | £0.55 |
Cost of onward referral, once | £312† | £8 | £1127 | Gamma | IRIS-programme local sites & 11 | £298 |
Cost of abused but not identified | £2043 | £52 | £7536 | Gamma | 8 | £4721 |
Weighted costs abused and identified, seeing advocate educator | 1 | 0.75 | 1.25 | Gamma | Assumption | – |
Weighted costs abused and identified, not seeing advocate educator | 1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | Gamma | Assumption | – |