Figure 4.

Precision (mean squared error, MSE)) of parameter estimates as a function of homogeneously increasing infection state uncertainty. The increasing state uncertainty on the x-axis corresponds to a decreasing probability of assigning an infection state. We used the following notations for the parameters: ϕ_S, ϕ_I and ϕ_R for the survival probability of individuals in S, I and R states, β for the infection probability, p_S, p_I, and p_R for the detection probability and δ_S, δ_I, and δ_R for the assignment probability of individuals in S, I and R states, respectively.