Table 1.
Coefficient and fit statistics of predictive model.
| Variable | Coefficient (Logit) | Standard Error |
|---|---|---|
| Intercept (white males, aged 16 to 24 years, with English as a first language, living in a “least-deprived” area) | −1.010 | 0.108 |
| Age | ||
| 25–34 | −0.196 | 0.103 |
| 35–44 | −0.262 | 0.101 |
| 45–54 | 0.213 | 0.100 |
| 55–65 | 0.383 | 0.099 |
| Gender | ||
| Female | −0.147 | 0.057 |
| Ethnicity | ||
| South Asian | 0.366 | 0.152 |
| Black | 0.518 | 0.178 |
| Other | 0.220 | 0.180 |
| First language | ||
| Non-English Speaker | 0.876 | 0.125 |
| Deprivation of area of residence | ||
| Deprivation IMD Quartile 2 | 0.456 | 0.085 |
| Deprivation IMD Quartile 3 | 0.735 | 0.097 |
| Deprivation IMD Quartile 4 (most deprived) | 1.244 | 0.090 |
| Area-level variance | 0.146 | 0.044 |
| Units: Areas | 828 | |
| Units: Individuals | 5815 | |
| Estimation | MCMC | |
| DIC Full Model (Null Model) | 7484.964 (7800.871) |
|
| Chain Length | 500,000 |
IMD: Index of Multiple Deprivation; DIC: Deviance Information Criterion.