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. 2017 May 3;1(1):26–39. doi: 10.1002/evl3.3

Table 1.

Predictions and results for genetic clines, plasticity, and selection

Trait Predicted: genetic cline Predicted: plasticity Results: genetic clines Results: plasticity Results: selection and clines Results: viability vs fecundity
Water‐use efficiency (δ13C) (–) Greater trait values in dry environments (low vs high elevation) Concordant and context dependent Concordant Concordant No
Specific leaf area (cm2/g) (+)* Lower trait values in dry environments (low vs high elevation) Concordant and context dependent Concordant Concordant No
Flowering time (relative to snowmelt date) (–) Earlier flowering under short seasons (high vs low elevation) Concordant and context dependent Concordant Concordant Yes
Height at flowering (–) Shorter height at flowering in high elevations Concordant and context dependent Concordant Concordant No

We base predictions are on phenotypic variation across natural Boechera stricta populations (Anderson and Gezon 2015) and on climatic adaptation from other systems (e.g., Campbell et al. 2010; Leonardi et al. 2012; Ward et al. 2012; Pratt and Mooney 2013; Read et al. 2014). “Predicted: Genetic cline” indicates the predicted relationship between trait values and source elevation in common gardens, with (–) predicting a negative slope and (+) predicting a positive slope. “Predicted: Plasticity” provides expectations for trait variation with environment. In the two corresponding results columns, we indicate whether genetic clines and phenotypic plasticity were concordant or discordant with predictions. “Results: Selection and clines” conveys whether selection is generally concordant with genetic clines, with fitness optima integrated across time and life history corresponding to local mean trait values. Lastly, “Results: Viability vs fecundity” illustrates whether viability and fecundity selection favor contrasting trait values.

*Note: This prediction is based on natural B. stricta populations (Anderson and Gezon 2015). Other systems show the reverse pattern (see discussion and Read et al. 2014).