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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Sep 5.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Med Dir Assoc. 2013 Feb 9;14(4):287–292. doi: 10.1016/j.jamda.2013.01.005

Table 3.

Observed and Predicted Mortality Rate for Each Quintile of the Predicted Probabilities, for MPI-SVaMA Indices at 1-Month and 1-Year Mortality Prediction, in the Development Cohort (n = 7876) and in the Validation Cohort (n = 4144)

MPI-SVaMA Quintile Development Cohort
 Validation Cohort
Observed Mortality, % Predicted Mortality, % Difference, % Observed Mortality, % Predicted Mortality, % Difference, %
MPI-SVaMA at 1 month 1   1.03   2.07   1.04   0.61   1.97   1.36
2   2.69   4.82   2.13   3.30   4.68   1.38
3   8.40   8.80   0.40   7.19   8.85   1.66
4 20.20 15.62   4.58 20.60 15.92   4.68
5 48.48 48.60   0.12 50.72 50.29   0.43
MPI-SVaMA at 1 year 1 11.87 14.57   2.70   9.60 14.62   5.02
2 21.20 24.96   3.76 22.94 25.24   2.29
3 36.35 37.69   1.34 40.43 38.38   2.05
4 66.44 58.18   8.26 64.41 59.44   4.97
5 90.21 91.93   1.71 91.45 92.75   1.30

MPI-SVaMA, Multidimensional Prognostic Index based on the Standardized Multidimensional Assessment Schedule (Scheda per la Valutazione Multidimensionale delle persone adulte e Anziane).