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. 2018 Sep 3;5:182. doi: 10.3389/fvets.2018.00182

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Copyright © 2018 Mourant, Fenimore, Manore and McMahon.

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

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For a fairly uniform population density of 68 cattle/km² and a rinderpest virus having the parameters of lineage-1, the number of vaccinations needed to control an epidemic increases rapidly with the delay in starting vaccination after rinderpest is identified. If the delay is long enough, the epidemic can not be extinguished. (A) No long distance spread and no transmission reduction. (B) Long distance spread is allowed to the locations shown in Figure 8B until 1 day after disease detection. Transmission is reduced by a factor of 2 also 1 day after disease detection.