Table 1.
Model built based on native range 1 | ||
---|---|---|
Potential introduced range | Interacting species 2 | |
Interacting species | Present; not used as predictors | Absent or excluded from model |
Absent | Cell 1. PREDICTED RANGE TOO NARROW [enemy release/empty niche] | Cell 2. ACCURATE PREDICTION |
Same or functionally similar to those in native range | Cell 3. ACCURATE PREDICTION | Cell 4. PREDICTED RANGE TOO BROAD [biotic resistance] |
Functionally dissimilar to those in native range | Cell 5. PREDICTED RANGE TOO BROAD OR TOO NARROW | Cell 6. PREDICTED RANGE TOO BROAD [biotic resistance] |
Environmental niche models are assumed to be predictive, correlative models based on conditions in the native range that are used to predict distributions in the introduced range.
Interacting species (e.g., predators, parasites, competitors) are assumed to constrain the focal species to a realized niche that is narrower than its fundamental (pre-interactive) niche. A similarly structured table could be made assuming interacting species that render the realized niche broader than the fundamental niche (e.g., mutualists, ecosystem engineers); however, deviation of predicted from actual introduced ranges would likely be reversed.