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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Aug 1.
Published in final edited form as: Biol Invasions. 2018 Jan 25;20(8):1913–1929. doi: 10.1007/s10530-018-1674-7

Table 1.

Effects of failure to include species interactions in models of species potential distributions in an introduced range.

Model built based on native range 1
Potential introduced range Interacting species 2
Interacting species Present; not used as predictors Absent or excluded from model
Absent Cell 1. PREDICTED RANGE TOO NARROW [enemy release/empty niche] Cell 2. ACCURATE PREDICTION
Same or functionally similar to those in native range Cell 3. ACCURATE PREDICTION Cell 4. PREDICTED RANGE TOO BROAD [biotic resistance]
Functionally dissimilar to those in native range Cell 5. PREDICTED RANGE TOO BROAD OR TOO NARROW Cell 6. PREDICTED RANGE TOO BROAD [biotic resistance]
1

Environmental niche models are assumed to be predictive, correlative models based on conditions in the native range that are used to predict distributions in the introduced range.

2

Interacting species (e.g., predators, parasites, competitors) are assumed to constrain the focal species to a realized niche that is narrower than its fundamental (pre-interactive) niche. A similarly structured table could be made assuming interacting species that render the realized niche broader than the fundamental niche (e.g., mutualists, ecosystem engineers); however, deviation of predicted from actual introduced ranges would likely be reversed.