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. 2017 Apr 28;1(1):37–48. doi: 10.1016/j.mayocpiqo.2017.04.004

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD); Maddrey Discriminant Function (mDF); age, serum bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and serum creatinine (ABIC); and Child-Pugh (CP) scores for predicting 30-day, 90-day, 180-day, and 1-year mortality rates. A, The ROC curve for MELD scores. The area under the curve (AUC) for 30-day mortality is 0.76 (95% CI, 0.67-0.85); 90-day mortality, 0.73 (95% CI, 0.64-0.82); 180-day mortality, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.58-0.79); and 1-year mortality, 0.62 (95% CI, 0.51-0.73). B, The ROC curve for mDF scores. The AUC for 30-day mortality is 0.75 (95% CI, 0.67-0.84); 90-day mortality, 0.73 (95% CI, 0.65-0.82); 180-day mortality, 0.71 (95% CI, 0.62-0.81); and 1-year mortality, 0.65 (95% CI, 0.55-0.76). C, The ROC curve for ABIC scores. The AUC for 30-day mortality is 0.73 (95% CI, 0.59-0.87); 90-day mortality, 0.71 (95% CI, 0.6-0.82); 180-day mortality, 0.71 (95% CI, 0.61-0.81); and 1-year mortality, 0.64 (95% CI, 0.53-0.76). D, The ROC curve for CP scores. The AUC for 30-day mortality is 0.77 (95% CI, 0.64-0.89), 90-day mortality, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.56-0.83); 180-day mortality, 0.7 (95% CI, 0.58-0.81); and 1-year mortality, 0.7 (95% CI, 0.6-0.8).