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. 2018 Aug 13;146(14):1824–1833. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818002182

Table 6.

Predicted disease counts with rates, and amplitude at the beginning (Tstart), breakpoint (Tbreak) and end (Tend) for each of two time periods

Years TstartTend Data sourcea Predicted annual counts (rates per 100 000)b Amplitude
Tstart Tbreak Tend Tstart Tbreak Tend
1993–2015 CDC 1174 (0.452) 1670 (0.578) 5925 (1.843) 11.769 2.627 3.482
1998–2006 CDC 1107 (0.401) 1620 (0.561) 2852 (0.956) 2.082 3.068 4.054
CMS 1142 (3.298) 462 (1.294) 970 (2.610) 1.034 1.552 2.070
a

CDC data include the entire population and CMS data only older adults (65+).

b

To estimate reporting rates per 100 000, the total US population was used for CDC rates, and the population of older adults (65+) was used for CMS rates.