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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Risk Anal. 2018 Mar 13;38(9):1944–1961. doi: 10.1111/risa.12985

Table XI.

Risk simulation parameters for life-time average daily dose variables for the highest and lowest simulated risks under the most conservative modeled scenarios for life-time probabilistic cancer risks (out of 10,000 iterations).

Highest Risk
Simulations (n=5)
Lowest Risk
Simulations (n=5)

Average Risk (SDa, Range) 1.0E-4 (3.9E-6, 9.5E-5 to 1.0E-4) 8.8E-6 (6.7E-7, 8.0E-6 to 9.6E-6)

Average IRb of Shrimp (SD) 56 g/day (26 g/day) 21 g/day (7 g/day)

Average IR of Finfish (SD) 550 g/day (19 g/day) 546 g/day (10 g/day)

Average Body Weight (SD) 42.7 kg (1.7 kg) 93.1 kg (12.8 kg)

Average Exposure Duration (SD) 74 yrs (4.3 yrs) 77 yrs (2.6 yrs)

Average Life-time (SD) 75 yrs (4.8 yrs) 79 yrs (1.7 yrs)

Average B[a]PEQs 3.6E-3 mg/kg (117%) 2.8E-3 mg/kg (91%)
Shrimp (% of average) 4.9E-3mg/kg (145%) 9.5E-4 mg/kg (28%)
Finfish (% of average)

Average benzo[a]pyrene concentration, % of overall modeled maximum, % of MDL, or % of the overall modeled average B[a]PEQs Shrimp-1.6E-3 mg/kg, 81%, 81%, 124% Shrimp-1.2E-3 mg/kg, 60%, 60%, 92%
Finfish-2.0E-3 mg/kg, 98%, 98%, 150% Finfish-2.8E-4 mg/kg, 14%, 14%, 22%

Average dibenz[a,h]anthracene concentration, % of overall modeled maximum, % of MDL, or % of the overall modeled average B[a]PEQs Shrimp-1.6E-3 mg/kg, 82%, 82%, 126% Shrimp-1.2E-3 mg/kg, 61%, 61%, 94%
Finfish-2.5E-3 mg/kg, 88%, 128%, 159% Finfish-2.7E-4 mg/kg, 9%, 14%, 17%