Table 4.

Brier loss of the examined predictors on the 2015–2016 test data under different segmentations of the original population.

	BW	BW + GA	Manktelow23	Tyson24	Logistic1	Logistic2	PISA
FULL [N = 5810]	0.1001	0.0866	0.0812	0.0692	0.0640	0.0623	0.0612
ELBWI [N = 842]	0.3588	0.2997	0.2722	0.2174	0.1980	0.1912	0.1892
VLBWI [N = 3616]	0.0316	0.0265	0.0219	0.0220	0.0209	0.0201	0.0197
SINGLETONS [N = 3378]	0.1145	0.1019	0.0982	0.0872	0.0797	0.0768	0.0757

Lower values indicate better goodness of fit.