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. 2018 Jul 19;144(8):727–737. doi: 10.1001/jamaoto.2018.0993

Table 2. Risk of Solid Tumor SPMN According to the Characteristics of the First HNSCC in 12 618 Patients, SEER 2000 to 2014.

Characteristic Observed Expected PYR SIR Rate (95% CI) EAR per 10 000 PYR
All HNSCC patients 12 618 6519.42 425 793.49 2.18 (2.14-2.22) 160.34
HPV-relatedness
First potentially HPV-associated HNSCC 3996 2120.94 161 538.00 1.88 (1.83-1.94) 116.08
First non-HPV-associated HNSCC 9521 4398.48 264 255.48 2.16 (2.12-2.21) 193.85
Anatomic sites
Oropharynx 3996 2120.94 161 538.00 1.88 (1.83-1.94) 116.08
Larynx 4635 2288.18 129 327.93 2.03 (1.97-2.08) 181.46
Oral cavity 4217 1875.17 120 792.16 2.25 (2.18-2.32) 193.87
Hypopharynx 669 235.12 14 135.39 2.85 (2.63-3.07) 306.95
Age at index HNSCC diagnosis, y
≤49 1264 351.12 81 423.47 3.60 (3.40-3.80) 112.12
50-59 3785 1523.29 138 734.03 2.48 (2.41-2.57) 163.02
60-69 4606 2349.34 117 776.61 1.96 (1.90-2.02) 191.61
≥70 3862 2295.67 87 859.39 1.68 (1.63-1.74) 178.28
Sex
Male 10 403 5308.88 326 375.27 1.96 (1.92-2.00) 156.08
Female 3114 1210.54 99 418.21 2.57 (2.48-2.66) 191.46
Race
White 11 510 5675.76 366 507.63 2.03 (1.99-2.07) 159.18
Black 1503 611.10 37 408.02 2.46 (2.34-2.59) 238.42
Other 502 177.75 18113.23 2.58 (2.58-3.08) 179.01
Marital status at HNSCC diagnosis
Married 7528 3919.39 248 968.45 1.92 (1.88-1.96) 144.94
Divorced/separated/widowed 3060 1362.00 82 461.23 2.25 (2.17-2.33) 205.92
Never married 2121 804.02 66 199.91 2.64 (2.53-2.75) 198.94
Unknown 808 434.01 28 163.90 1.86 (1.74-1.99) 132.79
Follow-up
2 mo to <1 y 2369 1141.65 79 218.86 2.08 (1.99-2.16) 154.93
1 y to <5 y 6788 3250.73 216 689.35 2.09 (2.04-2.14) 163.24
5 y to <10 y 3619 1728.80 106 793.78 2.09 (2.03-2.16) 176.99
≥10 y 741 398.24 23 091.49 1.83 (1.73-2.00) 148.44
Year of diagnosis of first HNSCC
2000 to 2004 6445 3216.18 199 344.70 2.00 (1.96-2.05) 161.97
2005 to 2009 4962 2340.54 157 967.48 2.12 (2.06-2.18) 165.95
2010 to 2014 2110 962.70 68 481.31 2.19 (2.10-2.29) 167.53
Histologic grade
Well 2025 1077.49 65 905.33 1.88 (1.80-1.96) 143.77
Moderately 6001 2664.55 174 807.39 2.25 (2.20-2.31) 190.86
Poor 2839 1424.75 99 121.66 1.99 (1.92-2.07) 142.68
Undifferentiated/unknown 2652 1352.64 85 959.10 1.96 (1.89-2.04) 151.16
Stage
Localized 6613 3361.49 199 430.93 1.97 (1.92-2.02) 163.04
Regional 4968 2301.29 168 134.36 2.16 (2.10-2.22) 158.61
Distant 1433 593.83 41 649.55 2.41 (2.29-2.54) 201.48
Unstaged/unknown 503 262.81 16 578.65 1.91 (1.75-2.09) 144.88
Surgery performed
Yes 7567 3690.99 246 741.46 2.05 (2.00-2.10) 157.09
No 5819 2769.61 175 087.55 2.10 (2.05-2.16) 174.16
Unknown 131 58.83 3964.48 2.23 (1.86-2.64) 182.05

Abbreviations: EAR, excess absolute risk; HNSCC, head and neck squamous cell carcinoma; HPV, human papillomavirus; PYR, person-year at risk; SEER, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results; SIR, standardized incidence ratio; SPMN, second primary malignant neoplasm.