Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: Anesthesiology. 2018 Oct;129(4):649–662. doi: 10.1097/ALN.0000000000002186

Table 3. Area Under the ROC curve results with 95% confidence intervals for the test set (n = 11,997).

Best AUCs for logistic regression and DNN are in bold.

Clinical Risk Score AUC (95% CI)
Surgical Apgar 0.58 (0.52 – 0.64)
POSPOM 0.74 (0.68 – 0.79)
ASA 0.84 (0.80 – 0.87)
RQI Score* 0.91 (0.87 – 0.94)
RSI Uncalibrated** 0.97 (0.94 – 0.99)
AUC (95% CI)

Model With All 87 features With ASA (88 features) With POSPOM (88 features) With Reduced Feature Set (45 features) With Reduced Feature Set & ASA (46 features) With Reduced Feature Set & POSPOM (46 features)
Logistic Regression 0.86
(0.81 – 0.90)
0.89
(0.86 – 0.92)
0.89
(0.85 – 0.93)
0.86
(0.81 – 0.90)
0.90
(0.87 – 0.93)
0.90
(0.86 – 0.93)
DNN 0.88
(0.85 – 0.91)
0.90
(0.87 – 0.93)
0.91
(0.87 – 0.95)
0.89
(0.85 – 0.92)
0.91
(0.88 – 0.93)
0.90
(0.87 – 0.93)

It should be noted that

*

RQI was calculated on 5,591 test patients (38 mortality) and

**

RSI Uncalibrated was calculated on 11,939 test patients (86 mortality)

AUC: Area under the curve; POSPOM: Preoperative Score to Predict Postoperative Mortality; RQI: Risk Quantification Index; RSI: Risk Stratification Index; DNN: Deep neural network.

HHS Vulnerability Disclosure