Table 5. Performance of case definitions in the comparison between GrippeNet.fr incidence estimates and official estimates, France, 2012/13 and 2013/14.
Comparison | ILI and ARI case definitions | 2012/13 |
2013/14 |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Correlation r (95% CI) |
Error e | Peak week differencea | Correlation r (95% CI) |
Error e | Peak week differencea | ||
GN ILI vs sentinel ILI |
GNILI vs RS | 0.89 (0.75–0.96) | 0.62 | 2 | 0.84 (0.64–0.94) | 0.51 | 0 |
GNILIf vs RS | 0.81 (0.58–0.92) | 0.56 | -1 | 0.83 (0.61–0.93) | 1.40 | -1 | |
GNILI– vs RS | 0.95 (0.87–0.98) | 1.04 | -1 | 0.91 (0.79–0.97) | 2.35 | -1 | |
GNILI–f vs RS | 0.94 (0.86–0.98) | 2.06 | 0 | 0.83 (0.62–0.93) | 4.58 | -1 | |
GN ARI vs sentinel ARI |
GNARI vs GROG | 0.91 (0.79–0.96) | 0.20 | -1 | 0.93 (0.82–0.97) | 0.18 | -1 |
GNARI + vs GROG | 0.90 (0.78–0.96) | 0.30 | 0 | 0.90 (0.76–0.96) | 0.31 | -1 | |
GNECDC vs GROG | 0.96 (0.89–0.98) | 0.13 | 0 | 0.93 (0.83–0.97) | 0.16 | -1 | |
GN ILI vs sentinel ARI |
GNILI vs GROG | 0.77 (0.51–0.90) | 0.95 | 2 | 0.84 (0.64–0.94) | 0.94 | 0 |
GNILIf vs GROG | 0.82 (0.61–0.93) | 0.87 | -1 | 0.86 (0.68–0.94) | 0.87 | -1 | |
GNILI– vs GROG | 0.81 (0.59–0.92) | 0.77 | -1 | 0.86 (0.68–0.95) | 0.80 | -1 | |
GNILI–f vs GROG | 0.88 (0.73–0.95) | 0.63 | 0 | 0.89 (0.73–0.95) | 0.67 | -1 | |
GN ARI vs sentinel ILI |
GNARI vs RS | 0.76 (0.49–0.90) | 7.9 | -1 | 0.66 (0.31–0.85) | 17.5 | -1 |
GNARI + vs RS | 0.76 (0.49–0.90) | 8.7 | 0 | 0.60 (0.21–0.82) | 19.7 | -1 | |
GNECDC vs RS | 0.85 (0.66–0.94) | 7.4 | 0 | 0.66 (0.31–0.85) | 17.0 | -1 |
ARI: acute respiratory infection; CI: confidence interval; GN: GrippeNet.fr; GROG: regional influenza surveillance group estimating the weekly number of ARI cases; ILI: influenza-like illness; RS: sentinel network estimating the weekly number of ILI cases.
The different case definitions used in GN (GNILI, GNILIf, GNILI-, GNILI-f, GNARI, GNARI +, GNECDC) are described in Table 1.
a The difference is calculated as peak week of GN incidence minus peak week of official estimate.