Table 2. Annual percent change in time trends of cause-specific age-standardized moratlity rates in Qatari and non-Qatari males, 1990–2014.
| Lower endpoint | Upper endpoint | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cause of death | Nationality | Year | Observed ASMR | Modeled ASMR | Year | Observed ASMR | Modeled ASMR | APC (%) |
| Cardiovascular and circulatory disease | Qatari | 1991 | 1780.5 | 2111.9 | 2014 | 220.0 | 99.0 | -12.5^ |
| Non-Qatari | 1991 | 149.6 | 159.6 | 1998 | 232.1 | 244.3 | 6.3 | |
| 1998 | 232.1 | 243.3 | 2009 | 25.2 | 23.9 | -19.0^ | ||
| 2009 | 25.2 | 23.9 | 2014 | 26.9 | 26.9 | 2.4 | ||
| Total | 1991 | 360.4 | 384.2 | 1998 | 379.3 | 378.4 | -0.2 | |
| 1998 | 379.3 | 378.4 | 2009 | 39.4 | 43.2 | -17.9^ | ||
| 2009 | 39.4 | 43.2 | 2014 | 35.6 | 35.7 | -3.7 | ||
| Cerebrovascular disease | Qatari | 1991 | 412.3 | 478.7 | 2001 | 128.8 | 153.3 | -10.8^ |
| 2001 | 128.8 | 153.3 | 2005 | 17.2 | 11.1 | -48.1 | ||
| 2005 | 17.2 | 11.1 | 2009 | 30.3 | 30.4 | 28.6 | ||
| 2009 | 30.3 | 30.4 | 2014 | 3.8 | 3.7 | -34.5 | ||
| Non-Qatari | 1991 | 26.1 | 57.9 | 2014 | 2.7 | 2.5 | -12.7^ | |
| Total | 1991 | 75.4 | 82.7 | 1999 | 72.3 | 70.0 | -2.1 | |
| 1999 | 72.3 | 70.0 | 2006 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 32.5^ | ||
| 2006 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 2010 | 10.1 | 8.5 | 17.4 | ||
| 2010 | 10.1 | 8.5 | 2014 | 2.8 | 2.7 | -24.9 | ||
| Hypertensive disease | Qatari | 1990 | 54.9 | 97.1 | 2004 | 119.7 | 129.2 | 2.1 |
| 2004 | 119.7 | 129.2 | 2007 | 13.0 | 18.1 | -48.0^ | ||
| 2007 | 13.0 | 18.1 | 2014 | 51.2 | 51.0 | 15.9 | ||
| Non-Qatari | 1990 | 1.7 | 10.0 | 2002 | 35 | 30.5 | 9.8^ | |
| 2002 | 35.0 | 30.5 | 2009 | 2.7 | 2.0 | -32.1^ | ||
| 2009 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2014 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 26.1 | ||
| Total | 1990 | 8.5 | 21.3 | 2002 | 57 | 53.5 | 8.0^ | |
| 2002 | 57 | 53.5 | 2007 | 5.0 | 6.2 | -35.0^ | ||
| 2007 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 2014 | 10.9 | 10.2 | 7.4 | ||
| Ischemic heart disease | Qatari | 1991 | 902.2 | 983.1 | 2014 | 47.4 | 48.2 | -12.3^ |
| Non-Qatari | 1991 | 87.0 | 84.4 | 1998 | 130.5 | 139.9 | 7.4 | |
| 1998 | 130.5 | 138.9 | 2001 | 31.8 | 33.3 | -37.1 | ||
| 2001 | 31.8 | 33.3 | 2014 | 11.5 | 10.8 | -8.6^ | ||
| Total | 1991 | 191.8 | 195.4 | 1996 | 236.7 | 197.9 | 0.3 | |
| 1996 | 236.7 | 197.9 | 2014 | 14.7 | 12.5 | -14.2^ | ||
| Neoplasms | Qatari | 1991 | 590.6 | 560.5 | 2014 | 78.8 | 69.9 | -8.7^ |
| Non-Qatari | 1991 | 14.3 | 47.5 | 2014 | 14.2 | 13.3 | -5.4^ | |
| Total | 1991 | 98.6 | 134.2 | 2014 | 19.5 | 20.0 | -8.0^ | |
| Colorectal cancer | Qatari | 2000 | 27.1 | 16.6 | 2014 | 12.3 | 8.8 | -4.4 |
| Non-Qatari | 2000 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2014 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.7 | |
| Total | 2000 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 2009 | 1 | 1.6 | -14.0^ | |
| 2009 | 1 | 1.6 | 2014 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 16.3 | ||
| Prostate cancer | Qatari | 2000 | 27.1 | 21.4 | 2014 | 7.1 | 6.4 | -8.3^ |
| Non-Qatari | 2003 | 1 | 1.3 | 2014 | 1.2 | 1.1 | -2 | |
| Total | 2000 | 5.1 | 3.7 | 2014 | 1.7 | 1.6 | -6.1^ | |
| Injuries | Qatari | 2000 | 115.6 | 155.1 | 2014 | 67.7 | 73.8 | -5.2^ |
| Non-Qatari | 2000 | 41.0 | 44.1 | 2005 | 75.6 | 74.7 | 11.1 | |
| 2005 | 75.6 | 74.7 | 2010 | 22.1 | 23.7 | -20.5^ | ||
| 2010 | 22.1 | 23.7 | 2014 | 24.7 | 25.4 | 1.7 | ||
| Total | 2000 | 56.5 | 57.9 | 2005 | 83.3 | 87.4 | 8.6 | |
| 2005 | 83.3 | 87.4 | 2009 | 33.9 | 34.2 | -20.9 | ||
| 2009 | 33.9 | 34.2 | 2014 | 27.9 | 27.9 | -4.0 | ||
| Transport accidents | Qatari | 2000 | 101.4 | 133 | 2014 | 53.8 | 61.1 | -5.4^ |
| Non-Qatari | 2000 | 36.2 | 32.0 | 2005 | 48.4 | 5.8 | 7.4 | |
| 2005 | 48.4 | 5.8 | 2009 | 15.4 | 14.8 | -24.6 | ||
| 2009 | 15.4 | 14.8 | 2014 | 13.3 | 13.8 | -1.3 | ||
| Total | 2000 | 49.7 | 47.9 | 2005 | 55.9 | 56.3 | 3.3 | |
| 2005 | 55.9 | 56.3 | 2009 | 20.2 | 21.4 | -21.5^ | ||
| 2009 | 20.2 | 21.4 | 2014 | 16.1 | 16.7 | -4.8 | ||
| Falls | Qatari | 2000 | 9.1 | 7.8 | 2009 | 1.2 | 4.8 | -5.2 |
| Non-Qatari | 2001 | 5.1 | 9.8 | 2014 | 2.6 | 2.1 | -11.3^ | |
| Total | 2000 | 2 | 9.1 | 2014 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 10.4 | |
Abbreviations: ASMR: Age-standardized moratality rates (per 100,000); APC: annual percent changes
^: APC were statistically significant (p-value<0.05).