Table 3.
Effect sizes for results of negative binomial regressions estimating the associations between Oropsylla hirsuta and Pulex simulans abundance on BTPD. Effects are represented as a percent change. LCI: lower credible interval, UCI: upper credible interval
| Oropsylla hirsuta | Pulex simulans | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 2.5% LCI | 97.5% UCI | Median | 2.5% LCI | 97.5% UCI | |
| Climate and weather variables | ||||||
| Day in season (10 days) | 214.36 | 88.17 | 392.51 | −66.66 | −77.98 | −50.55 |
| Winter precipitation (cm) | 0.51 | −1.59 | 2.66 | −7.33 | −10.4 | −4.26 |
| Number of days >85°F (10 days) | 21.75 | 13.82 | 30.54 | −1.99 | −10.09 | 6.75 |
| Prior year precipitation (cm) | −2.27 | −3.18 | −1.32 | 7.17 | 5.65 | 8.67 |
| NDVI (10% change) | −25.66 | −66.69 | 24.03 | −55.11 | −89.36 | 21.53 |
| Pair‐level characteristics | ||||||
| Elevation (100 m) | −11.09 | −27.75 | 3.9 | −5.37 | −48.72 | 88.84 |
| Plague detected vs no plague detected | 61.65 | 25.47 | 109.15 | 73.49 | 35.78 | 121.21 |
| Catch/trap days | −9.16 | −42.65 | 30.09 | −93.93 | −97.09 | −87.39 |
| Vaccine vs placebo | 4.51 | −46.62 | 133.21 | 2.98 | −80.3 | 1100.99 |
| Individual characteristics | ||||||
| Adult vs juvenile | 55.4 | 32.32 | 83.46 | −5.08 | −20.39 | 12.48 |
| Body condition (wt(g)/foot length (mm)) | −0.04 | −2.06 | 1.89 | 0.1 | −1.89 | 2.15 |
| Male vs female | 12.98 | 2.6 | 24.41 | 45.72 | 30.98 | 62.17 |