Table 2. Default model parameters (K_μ), the uncertainty estimate (K_σ), and the ensemble mean of the calibrated values ($\overline{K}$) for the experiment in which only the climate parameters are calibrated (“climate”) and the experiment where model, climate and initial conditions are calibrated (termed “all”).

Parameter K	Kμ	Kσ	$\overline{K}$ (climate)	$\overline{K}$ (all)
Temperature offset (°C)	0.0	2.5	2.3	1.1
Temperature trend (°C decade−1)	0.0	0.02	0.022	0.017
Water temperature offset (°C)	0.0	2.0	0.25	0.23
Rainfall scale factor	1.0	0.3	0.98	1.0