Table 3.
SUICIDE ATTEMPTS FOLLOWING: | SUICIDE DEATHS FOLLOWING: | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A Ment al Health Specialty Visit | A Mental Health Specialty Visit | ||||||||
Risk Score Percentile Strata | Predicted Risk1 | Actual Risk2 | % of All Attempts3 | Standardized Event Ratio4 | Risk Score Percentile Strata | Predicted Risk1 | Actual Risk2 | % of All Deaths3 | Standardized Event Ratio4 |
>99.5th | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10% | 20.7 | >99.5th | 0.654% | 0.694% | 12% | 24.6 |
99th to 99.5th | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6% | 12.9 | 99th to 99.5th | 0.638% | 0.595% | 11% | 21.5 |
95th to 99th | 4.1% | 4.2% | 27% | 6.7 | 95th to 99th | 0.162% | 0.167% | 25% | 6.3 |
90th to 95th | 1.9% | 1.8% | 15% | 3.0 | 90th to 95th | 0.068% | 0.088% | 16% | 2.3 |
75th to 90th | 0.9% | 0.9% | 21% | 1.4 | 75th to 90th | 0.031% | 0.029% | 16% | 1.1 |
50th to 75th | 0.3% | 0.3% | 13% | 0.51 | 50th to 75th | 0.014% | 0.015% | 13% | 0.54 |
<50th | 0.1% | 0.1% | 8% | 0.16 | <50th | 0.003% | 0.003% | 6% | 0.12 |
A Primary Care Visit with Mental Health Diagnosis | A Primary Care Visit with Mental Health Diagnosis | ||||||||
Risk Score Percentile Strata | Predicted Risk1 | Actual Risk2 | % of All Attempts3 | Standardized Event Ratio4 | Risk Score Percentile Strata | Predicted Risk1 | Actual Risk2 | % of All Deaths3 | Standardized Event Ratio4 |
>99.5th | 8.6% | 8.0% | 15% | 30.5 | >99.5th | 0.536% | 0.435% | 14% | 28.8 |
99th to 99.5th | 4.1% | 4.2% | 8% | 16.3 | 99th to 99.5th | 0.181% | 0.197% | 7% | 13.0 |
95th to 99th | 1.6% | 1.6% | 25% | 6.2 | 95th to 99th | 0.092% | 0.083% | 22% | 5.6 |
90th to 95th | 0.7% | 0.7% | 13% | 2.6 | 90th to 95th | 0.035% | 0.038% | 13% | 2.5 |
75th to 90th | 0.3% | 0.3% | 18% | 1.2 | 75th to 90th | 0.018% | 0.019% | 19% | 1.3 |
50th to 75th | 0.1% | 0.1% | 12% | 0.49 | 50th to 75th | 0.009% | 0.009% | 15% | 0.62 |
<50th | 0.04% | 0.04% | 9% | 0.17 | <50th | 0.003% | 0.003% | 10% | 0.19 |
Notes:
Predicted risk in this stratum using final model predictors and coefficients in the training sample
Observed risk in this stratum using final model predictors and coefficients in the validation sample
Percentage of all suicide attempts or deaths occurring in this stratum in validation sample
Ratio of observed risk in this stratum of the validation sample to average risk in the full validation sample